Srinagar : Light to moderate rain and snowfall are likely at most places across Jammu and Kashmir on Tuesday, with the possibility of moderate to heavy precipitation, thunderstorms and gusty winds at isolated locations, the Meteorological Department said on Monday.
Reports said that active spell is expected to continue through January 27, affecting both plains and higher reaches of the Union Territory.
The department has advised caution, particularly in vulnerable areas, as intermittent heavy rain or snowfall could lead to temporary disruptions.
On January 28, the weather is likely to improve slightly, with light rain or snowfall expected at a few places, mainly over higher elevations.
The Met Department said weather conditions are expected to remain largely dry from January 29 till the evening of January 31, bringing relief after the ongoing spell.
Officials said the recent precipitation is likely to improve snow accumulation in upper reaches but could also impact road connectivity, especially along mountain passes.
Travellers and residents have been advised to stay updated with official advisories and avoid unnecessary movement in adverse weather conditions.
Meanwhile, authorities said they are monitoring the situation and are prepared to respond to any weather-related exigencies.
According to independent weather observer Faizan Arif of Kashmir Weather, the system is not very strong but is active enough to cause moderate to locally heavy snowfall at higher elevations.
“For the plains, snowfall chances do exist since precipitation is expected to begin during the night hours. However, the probability of significant snow accumulation across most plains remains low,” he said.
The accumulation in plains will largely depend on whether dry snow sets in overnight. If temperatures hover around 3–4°C, snow accumulation is expected to be limited or unlikely. At present, the probability of snowfall for plains stands at around 50 per cent, while chances of decent accumulation are 30–40 per cent.
North and central Kashmir plains have an estimated 30–40 per cent chance of receiving dry snow. Areas closer to the Pir Panjal range, including Shopian and Kulgam, are likely to witness better snowfall and accumulations, with chances around 60–70 per cent.
Other areas such as Chenab Valley, Poonch district, and the Qazigund–Banihal stretch are also expected to receive snowfall with this system, while remaining regions are likely to experience rain.
Arif added that a few places may see gusty winds, but strong or prolonged wind conditions are not anticipated with this Western Disturbance
