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Home Opinion Editorial

Seismic Risk Rising In J&K

From Editor's Desk by From Editor's Desk
December 31, 2025
in Editorial
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The Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) has classified the entire Himalayan arc, including Jammu & Kashmir, within the highest earthquake vulnerability zone. This official assessment serves as a serious warning to local residents that the region faces significantly higher seismic risks than previously believed.

The recent upgrade of Jammu & Kashmir to Seismic Zone VI in the updated 2025 National Seismic Hazard Map has sent alarm bells ringing across the Union Territory.  Zone VI, the highest category in the seismic zoning system, signals that the region is at risk of experiencing very high-intensity earthquakes capable of causing catastrophic damage.  This scientific assessment, issued by the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS), places the entire Himalayan arc—including the length of Jammu & Kashmir—squarely in the most vulnerable category. For residents of the region, this revelation is a sobering reminder that the ground beneath our feet is not as stable as we have long assumed. Historically, Jammu & Kashmir has faced multiple natural disasters, from the 2005 devastating earthquake in the Pakistan-administered Kashmir region to frequent floods that have battered Srinagar and other parts of the valley.  Yet, despite these recurring threats, the region has not taken adequate measures to mitigate potential damage. Unlike countries such as Japan, where earthquakes are a part of daily consciousness and society is trained to respond swiftly and efficiently, our preparedness remains minimal.  Buildings are often constructed without strict adherence to seismic codes, emergency response systems are underdeveloped, and public awareness campaigns are rare or poorly executed. The BIS update serves as a wake-up call for both policymakers and the public. Being classified in Zone VI is not merely a technical notation on a map; it is a clear indication that any major seismic event could result in unprecedented destruction, particularly in urban and densely populated areas. This necessitates a two-pronged approach: structural preparedness and community awareness. Structurally, new construction must strictly follow earthquake-resistant building codes, while existing infrastructure should undergo assessment and retrofitting wherever feasible. Community-level preparedness, on the other hand, requires education, drills, early warning systems, and a culture of resilience.

“Despite historical lessons and clear scientific warnings, Jammu & Kashmir remains dangerously unprepared for high-intensity earthquakes. The region’s reclassification to Seismic Zone VI highlights an urgent need to shift from reactive to proactive measures. To mitigate risk, the authorities and society must prioritize resilient infrastructure, public education, and strict enforcement of building codes to ensure survival in an unstable landscape.”

Citizens need to learn how to respond during tremors, evacuate safely, and minimize casualties and property loss. The responsibility lies primarily with the Jammu & Kashmir Government. It is imperative for administrative authorities to act proactively, rather than reactively, in the wake of potential disasters.  This includes engaging seismologists, engineers, and disaster management experts to formulate a comprehensive risk reduction plan, integrating early warning systems, emergency response protocols, and public training programs. Collaboration with national and international disaster management agencies can also help in capacity building and in learning best practices from countries experienced in earthquake management. While it is natural for such news to trigger concern, panic is counterproductive. The challenge is to transform awareness into preparedness. The lessons from previous earthquakes should have instilled a culture of readiness, but unfortunately, we are still unprepared for high-intensity seismic events. Today, with the scientific community providing clear warnings, there is no excuse for complacency. Jammu & Kashmir cannot afford to remain reactive. The upgrade to Seismic Zone VI is a stark reminder that the mountains, while majestic, are unstable, and society must adapt to this reality.  By investing in resilient infrastructure, educating communities, and enforcing stringent building standards, we can mitigate the risk and build a society that is capable of withstanding the tremors of nature. The time for action is now; otherwise, we remain literally and figuratively on shaky ground.

 

From Editor's Desk

From Editor's Desk

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The publication of “Kashmir Horizon” as an English daily was started with a modest attempt on May 19, 2008.It has been a Himalayan attempt for “The Kashmir Horizon” to survive the challenges posed to journalism in the violence fraught place like Jammu & Kashmir.

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